Research on Disruptive Technology Prediction Methods Based on BERT Model and Graph Theory Analysis

Overview & Synopsis

With the acceleration of the technological revolution, disruptive technologies have become a key factor in global technological competition. However, existing prediction methods are limited by single technology fields, semantic analysis limitations, and subjective factors, making it difficult to effectively predict these technologies. In this paper, we studied the current disruptive technology prediction methods using the ideal solution analysis and resource analysis tools of TRIZ theory and proposed a new prediction method. This method combines the BERT model and graph theory analysis for the first time, and it analyzes patent text, mines the inherent relationships between cross-domain technologies, extracts disruptive technology features, and evaluates them through expert judgments. This method fills the gap in existing research. Our method demonstrates unique innovation in cross-domain technology integration and can more accurately predict disruptive technologies. The research results show that the patent technologies selected after being fused perform excellently in terms of performance and advantages, verifying the scientificity and effectiveness of our research framework. This study provides a new and effective method for exploring and predicting disruptive technologies, which is expected to drive further development in related fields.