Can the Flying Geese Fly Again? Automation and the Pattern of Industrialization
Overview & Synopsis
Three key developments, protectionism, aging, and automation, are affecting the global pattern of industrial production and trade. While these trends affect many countries, they are especially consequential for China, which currently dominates global manufacturing. Using a multi-country model fitted with global trade and robotization data, this paper shows that automation can mitigate the adverse effects of protection and aging on competitiveness, particularly in sectors with a high share of automatable tasks. The impact of a 10 percent decline in labor force in China would be offset by doubling of robot productivity in vehicles, but robot productivity would need to more than triple in computers.
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Document Information
| Document Title | Can the Flying Geese Fly Again? Automation and the Pattern of Industrialization |
|---|---|
| Author / Organization | Artuc, Erhan, Barattieri, Alessandro, Noukwe, Isambert Leunga, Mattoo, Aaditya |
| Subject & Discipline | Other - Industry, Trade, and Services |
| Categories | Economics & Development |
| Publication Year | 2026 |
| License / Rights | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) |
| Resource Verification | Listed PDF (Verification Pending) |
| Original Host Website |
World Bank Documents & Reports
(documents.worldbank.org)
|
| File Format | application/pdf (Portable Document Format) |
| Language | EN |
| Catalog ID | DOC-3111 |
| Original Source Link | Visit Source Page on documents.worldbank.org » |