รายงานติดตามเศรษฐกิจไทย : การผลิตที่เป็นมิตรต่อสิ่งแวดล้อมขั้นสูงเพื่อการเติบโต - บทสรุปสำหรับผู้บริหาร

Overview & Synopsis

Growth is projected to slow to 1.6 percent in 2026 before edging up to about 2.3 percent in 2027 as global and domestic demand conditions stabilize while foreign direct investment (FDI) in new industries begin to materialize. Thailand’s 2025 downturn has brought long-standing structural constraints into sharper focus - an aging industrial base, eroding export and tourism competitiveness, high household debt, and tightening fiscal buffers - and clarified reform opportunities to support stronger investment, consumption and labor markets. While manufacturing momentum softened even as exports temporarily surged, the economy continues to benefit from solid external linkages, a current account surplus, and contained inflation. Downside risks dominate, underscoring the need to strengthen competition, upgrade skills, and rebuild fiscal space to lift productivity, boost quality investments in rising industries, such as advanced green manufacturing, and support more resilient, job-creating growth.