Quantum-Classical Link Prediction on Dark Web Hyperlink Graphs

Overview & Synopsis

We analyze HTML content and hyperlinks from an offline Tor crawl containing 383 onion hosts and 2,067 directed cross-host links. The study combines semantic analysis with degree-controlled quantum--classical link prediction. Two directory groups emit 94.8\% of the observed host links. Directed preferential attachment reaches ROC-AUC 0.976 with random non-edges, but falls to $0.550\pm0.014$ under source-conditioned target-degree matching. With disjoint training and test pairs, multimodal logistic regression reaches $0.672\pm0.021$, GAE $0.899\pm0.016$, and VGAE $0.906\pm0.016$. A four-qubit variational quantum classifier (VQC) comparison tests two encodings across 20 disjoint-pair graph splits under exact and 1,024-shot simulation, with classical controls using the same inputs and training examples. Its best exact mean ROC-AUC is $0.549\pm0.023$, compared with $0.551\pm0.016$ for RBF SVC and $0.573\pm0.029$ for a 16-parameter MLP on the same inputs and training examples. These results support predictive signal in combined graph/content features and show why degree control, feature compression, and optimization conditions matter in quantum--classical comparisons.