Macro Poverty Outlook for Afghanistan : Annual Meetings 2026

Overview & Synopsis

Afghanistan’s economy continues to grow, but not enough to improve living standards. Growth is projected to slow to 3 percent in FY2026, driven by a post-drought harvest rebound and construction, while services and private investment contract amid shrinking aid and disrupted regional trade. As returnees swell the population, per capita income remains broadly flat, while rising inflation further strains poor households and vulnerable families.